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Hal Scott releases discussion paper examining interconnectedness and contagion in the financial system

CAMBRIDGE, Mass., November 20, 2012—Hal S. Scott the Director of the Committee on Capital Markets Regulation (CCMR), an independent and nonpartisan research organization dedicated to improving regulation and enhancing the competitiveness of U.S. capital markets, today released its comprehensive study of interconnectedness and contagion in the financial system.

The study engages in a detailed analysis of interconnectedness (i.e., the linkage between financial institutions) in the context of the failure of Lehman Brothers in October 2008 and concludes that interconnectedness was not a major cause of the recent financial crisis.

The study continues with a discussion of financial contagion (i.e., run-like behavior that spreads from the perceived failure of a financial institution to other financial institutions) and an analysis of possible solutions to contagion. The study highlights that a distinguishing feature of contagion is its ability to spread indiscriminately among firms in the financial sector and notes that contagious runs can occur even if there are no direct linkages to the original institution (i.e., even in the absence of interconnectedness).

The study comes to the conclusion that contagion was the primary cause of the financial crisis and that short-term funding in particular is the primary source of systemic instability. In the context of these conclusions, the study engages in a comprehensive and detailed analysis of the possible solutions to financial contagion. The solutions include: (i) capital requirements, (ii) liquidity requirements, (iii) resolution procedures, (iv) money market mutual fund reform, (v) lender of last resort, (vi) liability insurance and guarantees, and (vii) public bailouts. Each potential solution is discussed in detail with an evaluation of its effectiveness in addressing financial contagion.

The Committee hopes the study on interconnectedness and contagion will encourage further discussion of these issues and help guide the debate on future financial regulatory reform.

[Download the paper here] PDF

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For Further Information:
Hal S. Scott
Director
Committee on Capital Markets Regulation
hscott@law.harvard.edu

Committee on Capital Markets Regulation
(617) 384-5364
info@capmktsreg.org

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